BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Illinois St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 36 Conference: Missouri Valley Football Conference Record: (4-4) Overall: (6-5) Overall Strength =  128.15

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/03/2022 Away    L   122.89   0  38   1A  31 (  6-  6) Wisconsin              -2.31 *  -35.69                      
  2 09/10/2022 Home    W   101.04  28  21   1B 121 (  5-  7) Valparaiso            -24.17 *   31.17                      
  3 09/17/2022 Home    W   137.46  35   7   1B  86 (  2-  9) Eastern Illinois       12.25     15.75                      
  4 10/01/2022 Home    L * 127.55  14  19   1B  21 (  5-  6) Southern Illinois       2.34     -7.34                      
  5 10/08/2022 Away    W * 142.42  23  21   1B  15 (  6-  5) Northern Iowa          17.22    -15.22                      
  6 10/15/2022 Home    W * 124.40  12  10   1B  47 (  3-  8) South Dakota           -0.80      2.80                      
  7 10/22/2022 Away    W * 125.07  27  21   1B  57 (  2-  9) Indiana St             -0.13      6.13                      
  8 10/29/2022 Away    L * 130.14   7  24   1B   3 ( 10-  2) North Dakota St         4.93    -21.93                      
  9 11/05/2022 Home    L * 125.58  17  19   1B  29 (  7-  4) Youngstown St           0.38     -2.38                      
 10 11/12/2022 Away    L * 125.93   7  31   1B   1 ( 11-  1) South Dakota St         0.73    -24.73                      
 11 11/19/2022 Home    W * 114.77  20  13   1B  96 (  0- 11) Western Illinois      -10.43     17.43                      
      Averages             125.20  17.3 20.4

Best game:  142.42 = 2 point win over Northern Iowa
Worst game: 101.04 = 7 point win over Valparaiso
Team stdev:  10.84